College Football Round Up & PodSharp Approved Picks - 11/8
Top Trending Picks For This Saturday & PC Picks
Aloha, Sharps. Paid subscribers can get daily bets across all sports here and the full CFB table of bets here.
This is our first reformatted newsletter containing PodSharp Approved & Certified Picks. Of all tracked shows & 3,000+ bets (and counting), a single recommendation nets out to 51% chance of hitting - a coinflip. We’ve developed a model for paid subscribers that flags bets with a 65%+ likelihood of hitting.
Our goal is to share what’s popular and trending, then back that up with data to parse out the best picks for paid subscribers.
Free Subscribers: You’ll now be getting a summary of all the trending picks. What’s the most popular, what podcasts riding with what teams, who do the hotter podcasts like, etc. We’ll still being highlighting the pick of the week based on volume of podcasts and then a quick round up on other trending picks.
Paid Subscribers: Below the paywall, we’re offering PodSharp Certified (75%+ likelihood) and Approved picks (65%+ likelihood). This will now be the meat and potatoes of our newsletter and we’ll be tracking performance on our recommendations to prove out the model. Since we’ve been in beta last week, these picks are at a 66% hit rate, including an off night for TNF (1-2).Turns out no model can account for how bad Geno and Bo Nix could play in that game.
Upgrade now to get access to PodSharp Certified and Approved picks.
Popular Pick of The Week
San Diego State @ HAWAII (+7), 11:00 PM EST
A late one here as the most selected pick of the week, with 5 analysts liking Hawaii with the TD in this one. All 5 recommendations on this one have a 50%+ hit rate on the year.
What The Analysts Are Saying
Hawaii has a huge edge on offense, and traveling to Hawaii is always tough for any road team. Some hosts have this on upset alert and strong potential for a win outright.
Hawaii Offense & ST huge edge in this one
Very mediocre/67 QB play from the Aztecs
Other High Volume Picks
LSU (+10) @ Alabama, 7:30 PM EST
3 Recommendations on LSU at +10
Most of these recommendations are coming off the new coach bump factor, hence why it’s trending but the model hasn’t flagged as approved or certified. Either way, I think we’ll learn how much Brian Kelly was holding LSU back in the rivalry road game.
OREGON (-6) @ Iowa, 3:30 PM EST
3 recommendations on Oregon -6, including Locked on Bets (60% hit rate)
Rationale: Oregon’s offense is expected to overwhelm Iowa’s more traditional (re: boring) style of play. Other than a walloping from OSU, Oregon has handled business this year and expect nothing less in this one.
MARYLAND (+1.5) @ Rutgers, 2:30 PM EST
2 recommendations on Maryland +1.5
Rationale: New coach bump bet #2! Low recommendation volume here, but those that do like Maryland to bounce back against Rutgers.
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